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Agenda as of 2/22/2012 12:43 PM
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Wednesday, November 2, 2011 |
| Wednesday, November 2, 2011 |
| Time |
Session |
9:00 AM to 10:00 AM
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Working with Congress—Orientation and Training
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10:00 AM to 5:00 PM
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Congressional Office Visits
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Meet with Congressional Staff to discuss energy issues and help advance understanding of Peak Oil and resource depletion issues. Learn More
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6:00 PM to 9:00 PM
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Registration
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| Social Events |
7:00 PM to 9:00 PM
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Welcome Reception
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| Opening Reception with Speakers and Attendees
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Thursday, November 3, 2011 |
| Thursday, November 3, 2011 |
| Time |
Session |
7:00 AM to 7:00 PM
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Registration
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Beginning at 8:30 a.m., this morning's sessions will be held at the Congressional Auditorium at the U.S. Capitol building. Groups will meet in the Hyatt lobby starting at 7:45 a.m. to make the 10-15 minute walk to the Auditorium. Please allow yourself enough time to register and collect your name badge prior to leaving the Hyatt.
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8:30 AM to 9:00 AM
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Welcome, Overview at the Congressional Auditorium, Capitol Visitor Center
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Jim Baldauf, President and Co-Founder, ASPO-USA Jan Mueller, Executive Director, ASPO-USA
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9:00 AM to 10:30 AM
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Peak Oil Update: Timing, Trends, Consequences
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An up-to-date analysis of the fundamental trends underlying the Peak Oil and resource depletion issue, and the implications for the economy, energy security, and global stability.
Chris Skrebowski, Founding Director, Peak Oil Consulting; Consulting Editor, Petroleum Review, Energy Institute (UK) William R. Catton, Jr. Professor Emeritus, Dept. of Sociology, Washington State University; Author, Bottleneck: Humanity's Impending Impasse Jeff Rubin, Former Chief Economist, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce; Author, Why Your World is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller
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10:30 AM to 10:45 AM
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Break and Networking
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10:45 AM to 12:15 PM
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Adapting to the End of Cheap Energy: Critical Factors
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Use less? Find Alternatives? Re-think Everything? A hard look at near-term and long-term options for adapting to an oil supply crisis, and choices facing businesses, government, communities, and citizens.
Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute; Author, The End of Growth Chris Martenson, Former Vice-President, Science Applications International Corporation; Creator "The Crash Course" Roger Bezdek, President, Management Information Services Inc. Angelina Galiteva, Founder, Renewables 100 Policy Institute; President, NEOptions; Member, California ISO Board of Governors; Chair, World Council for Renewable Energy
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12:15 PM to 2:00 PM
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Networking Lunch
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2:00 PM to 3:30 PM
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Out of Gas: Implications for Transportation
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Transportation accounts for 70% of U.S. oil use, and depends on oil for nearly all its energy needs. This session examines scenarios of how passenger and freight travel are likely to respond as Peak Oil unfolds.
Charles Schlumberger, Lead Air Transport Specialist, The World Bank Joshua Schank, President, Eno Transportation Foundation Arlee Reno, Senior Economist, Cambridge Systematics Beth Osborne, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Transportation Policy, US Department of Transportation
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2:00 PM to 3:30 PM
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Of Wells and Wall Street: Implications for Businesses and Investors
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The current environment for businesses and investors is fraught with uncertainty. Learn how Peak Oil and other major shifts in energy market dynamics alters the calculus for business and investment strategies.
Chris Martenson, Creator, "The Crash Course" Robert Rapier, Chief Technology Officer, Merica International Jason Stevens, Associate Director, Energy, Morningstar
Moderator: Jim Hansen, Ravenna Capital Management
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2:00 PM to 3:30 PM
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China and the Middle East: Implications for U.S. Energy Security
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Dynamic changes in China and the Middle East, including rapidly rising energy demand, has huge consequences for the United States and other industrial economies. This session examines major trends in global energy demand and supply, and ripple effects for the U.S. economy.
Kjell Aleklett, Professor of Physics, Uppsala University (Sweden); President, ASPO International Michael Klare, Five Colleges Professor of Peace and World Security Studies, Hampshire College Minqi Li, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Utah Jeffrey Brown, Independent Consulting Petroleum Geologist
Moderator: Jeffrey Brown, Independent Consulting Petroleum Geologist
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3:40 PM to 5:00 PM
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The End of Growth?
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The spectacular economic growth experienced by the United States and other industrial nations over the last 100 or more years was made possible in large part by access to abundant, affordable energy, principally from fossil fuels. Can growth as we have known it continue in the face of accelerating depletion of global energy resources?
Jean Laherrère, President of ASPO France, retired geologist/geophysicist, Total S.A. (France) William R. Catton, Jr. Professor Emeritus, Dept. of Sociology, Washington State University; Author, Bottleneck: Humanity's Impending Impasse Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute: Author, The End of Growth
Moderator: Jim Baldauf, President, ASPO-USA Board of Directors
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5:15 PM to 7:00 PM
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Dinner on your own
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7:00 PM to 9:00 PM
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The Shale Gas Rush: Boom or Bust?
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Massive expansion of shale gas development has been touted as a cure-all for America's energy challenges. This special feature session takes a hard look at the prospects and pitfalls for shale gas.
Anthony Ingraffea, Professor of Engineering, Cornell University Rob Jackson, Professor, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University Robert Howarth, Professor of Ecology and Environmental Biology, Cornell University Amy Mall, Senior Policy Analyst, NRDC
Moderator: Art Berman, Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc.; ASPO-USA Board Member
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Friday, November 4, 2011 |
| Friday, November 4, 2011 |
| Time |
Session |
7:30 AM to 3:30 PM
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Registration
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8:30 AM to 8:45 AM
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Interim Observations, Day 2 Overview
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Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI, and lead author of the "Hirsch Report"
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8:45 AM to 9:00 AM
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Navigating a New Energy Reality – Concepts and Principles
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A review of key considerations for adapting to the impacts of Peak Oil and resource depletion, and differentiating between meaningful and misguided responses.
Robert Rapier, Chief Technology Officer, Merica International
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9:00 AM to 10:15 AM
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The Post-Peak Economy
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An examination of how rapid changes in the energy world will shape fundamental economic and financial conditions.
Charley Maxwell, Senior Energy Analyst, Weeden and Co. Jeff Rubin, Author, Former CIBC Chief Economist
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10:15 AM to 10:30 AM
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Break and Networking
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10:30 AM to 12:00 PM
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Living on a Renewable Energy Budget
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Is it possible to run the global economy entirely on renewable energy? Do we have a choice? What are the opportunities and constraints for scaling up renewable energy development? What would the transition path look like? This session will drill down into the most authoritative and up-to-date data to address these critical questions.
Dave Murphy, Energy Consultant, EROI Institute, SUNY-ESF; Contributor, The Oil Drum Angelina Galiteva, President, NEOptions; Member, California ISO Board of Governors; Chair, World Council for Renewable Energy Guy Dauncey, Founder and President of the BC Sustainable Energy Association Ken Zweibel, Director, George Washington University Solar Institute
Moderator: Ron Swenson, CEO of Swenson Technology, ASPO-USA Board Member
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12:00 PM to 1:30 PM
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Lunch, Keynote Presentation: The Future of Food
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Impacts on production and distribution of food is among the most serious concerns surrounding Peak Oil. Notable agriculture researcher and innovator Wes Jackson looks at the issue from an overall food system perspective and explores the key factors shaping the future of food.
Wes Jackson, President, The Land Institute
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1:30 PM to 3:00 PM
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Finance in a Rapidly Changing World
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Many factors are driving a rapidly changing financial environment. How does Peak Oil and shifting energy trends affect the future outlook for finance? How will a financial system built on the idea of endless growth respond to new realities and the prospect of economic contraction? This session will explore potential future scenarios, and examine the sudden contraction of the Russian economy following the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Dmitry Orlov, Engineer; Author, Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects Gail Tverberg, President, Tverberg Actuarial Services; Contributing Editor, The Oil Drum Nicole Foss, The Automatic Earth
Moderator: Dick Vodra, First Vice President, Spire Investment Partners, LLC
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1:30 PM to 3:00 PM
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At Ground Level: Adaptation for Local and Regional Economies
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Strategies to adapt to Peak Oil may vary according to differences in regional economies and local resources. This session discusses how to assess different opportunities and constraints at the regional and local level in forming adaptation strategies for your business, your community, and your family.
Naomi Davis, Founder and President, Blacks in Green John Michael Greer, Author, The Long Descent: A User's Guide to the End of the Industrial Age Aaron Newton, Pollinator, Cultivatis; Co-Author, A Nation of Farmers: Defeating the Food Crisis on American Soil Peter Kilde, Executive Director, West Central Wisconsin Community Action Agency
Moderator: Megan Quinn-Bachman, Reporter, Yellow Springs News; ASPO-USA Board Member
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3:00 PM to 3:15 PM
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Break
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3:15 PM to 5:00 PM
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What Next?: Strategies and Synthesis Discussion
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There are no silver bullet or one-size-fits-all responses for Peak Oil, resource depletion, and the economic, social, and political challenges they present. Individual businesses, organizations, public institutions, communities, and households need to decide for themselves what specific adaptive strategies are most appropriate. But what general principles and elements can be distilled from the conference sessions and discussion thus far? A diverse panel of conference speakers and special guests will explore that question.
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| Social Events |
6:30 PM to 9:00 PM
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Speaker’s Dinner
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Annual fundraising dinner with conference speakers. Program and discussion topics to be announced. Cost $200 (included with Peak Aware conference registration package) *Pre-registration required*
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Saturday, November 5, 2011 |
| Saturday, November 5, 2011 |
| Time |
Session |
9:00 AM to 10:30 AM
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Session I
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Investors Roundtable An exchange of key information to guide financial decisions in a world of Peak Oil and energy uncertainty Featuring: Robert Rapier, Jim Hansen, Charles Schlumberger, Andy Buckingham, and other experts
Community Adaptation and the Post-Peak Economy Individuals have already begun reducing their dependence upon the energy-intensive global economic system by working cooperatively in communities to provide for their essential needs — food, shelter, healthcare, security and credit — closer to home. Discuss relocalization and monetary reform strategies with on-the-ground activists and create a plan for a post-peak economy. Featuring: Megan Bachman, Dmitry Orlov, John Michael Greer, and other experts
Bringing Peak Oil into the National Policy Debate Federal policies affecting energy, the economy, transportation, infrastructure and other critical areas already faces huge policy and funding challenges. How does the prospect of rising fuel prices and potential fuel shortages change the debate for these interconnected issues? Does our vision for the future fit economic and energy reality? Featuring: Jan Mueller, and other experts
Innovative Communications, Writing a New American Story
Journalists, media experts, and others lead a discussion on creative ways to communicate overwhelming and complex issues regarding energy and the economy, and how to work with traditional and new media. Featuring: Kurt Cobb, Chris Martenson, Tom Whipple, Kristofer Jakobsson and other experts
Living on a Renewable Energy Budget What does a Renewable Energy Budget look like? Can it meet our global need for power, transport, buildings and industry? And can it support transformed, ecologically sustainable economic vitality? These are the questions we will explore together in a collaborative manner. Featuring: Guy Dauncey, Ken Zweibel, Ron Swenson, Bill James and other experts.
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11:00 AM to 12:30 PM
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Session II
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Investors Roundtable (continued)
Community Adaptation and the Post-Peak Economy (continued)
Bringing Peak Oil into the National Policy Debate (continued)
Innovative Communications, Writing a New American Story (continued)
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12:30 PM to 1:00 PM
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Lunch on your own
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1:00 PM to 5:00 PM
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Educators & Students Workshop
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“Teaching and Understanding Peak Oil: The Future of Education in an Era of Declines
Saturday afternoon is dedicated to students and educators. Some conference speakers and ASPO-USA members will be in attendance and part of the program.
This portion of the conference is free to teachers, students and faculty members with ID.
12:00-1:00 PM - Open Space Discussions
1:00-2:30 PM - Talking Numbers: How to Reach People With the Science of Depletion Nicole Foss, Jeff Brown, Charlie Hall, and others TBD
2:30-3:00 PM - Break, Conversation
3:00-3:30 PM - The Problem of Histories – Using History to Describe the Future Dmitry Orlov, John Michael Greer, Sharon Astyk, Kurt Cobb
3:30-5:00 PM - The Future of the "Academy" Nancy Lee Wood, Aaron Newton, Lisa Taranto and others TBA
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Supporting Sponsors |
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Speakers
William Catton, Jr. Author, Overshoot: The Ecological Basis for Revolutionary Change
Richard Heinberg Post Carbon Institute
Wes Jackson The Land Institute
Jean Laherrère retired Geologist/Geophysicist; President, ASPO France
Chris Martenson CM & Co.
Charles Maxwell Weeden & Co
Robert Rapier Merica International
Jeff Rubin Former CIBC Chief Economist
Chris Skrebowski Energy Institute, London
Kjell Aleklett President, ASPO International
Arthur Berman Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc.; ASPO-USA Board Member
Roger Bezdek Management Information Services, Inc.
Jeffrey Brown Independent Petroleum Geologist; ASPO-USA Board Member
Andy Buckingham Buckingham Exploration, LLC
Kurt Cobb Freelance Writer; Author, "Prelude"
Guy Dauncey BC Sustainable Energy Association
Naomi Davis Blacks in Green
Nicole Foss The Automatic Earth
Angelina Galetiva Principal, NEOptions Inc.
John Michael Greer Independent Scholar; The Archdruid Report
Jim Hansen Ravenna Capital Management
Robert Hirsch MISI
Robert Howarth Cornell University
Anthony Ingraffea Cornell University
Rob Jackson Duke University
Kristofer Jakobsson Uppsala University
Peter Kilde West Central Wisconsin Community Action Agency Inc.
Michael Klare Hampshire College
Minqi Li University of Utah
Amy Mall National Resources Defense Council
Jan Mueller Executive Director, ASPO-USA
David Murphy The Oil Drum, EROI Institute, SUNY-ESF
Aaron Newton Cultivatis
Dmitry Orlov ClubOrlov.com
Beth Osborne US Department of Transportation
Arlee Reno Cambridge Systematics, Inc.
Joshua Schank Eno Transportation Foundation
Charles Schlumberger, FRAeS The World Bank
Jason Stevens Morningstar
Lisa Taranto Tricycle Gardens
Gail Tverberg The Oil Drum
Richard Vodra Spire Investment Partners, LLC
Tom Whipple ASPO-USA's Peak Oil Review
Nancy Lee Wood Bristol Community College
Ken Zweibel The George Washington University Solar Institute
Sharon Astyk Writer; Farmer; ASPO-USA Board Member
Megan Bachman Reporter, Yellow Springs News; ASPO-USA Board Member
Jim Baldauf Co-Founder and President, ASPO-USA
Dave Room Co-founder, Bay Localize; ASPO-USA Board Member
Ron Swenson CEO, Swenson Technology; ASPO-USA Board Member
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