Comments on: Interview with Sadad al Husseini - “The Facts Are There” http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/ Truth in Energy Thu, 09 Feb 2012 01:26:36 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 By: ASPO: une pénurie de capacités de production pétrolière dans les deux http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-4361 ASPO: une pénurie de capacités de production pétrolière dans les deux Fri, 01 Oct 2010 12:43:33 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-4361 [...] d’une interview de Sadad al Husseini ,réalisée le 28 septembre pour ASPO-USA, par Dave Bowden, l’ancien n° 2 du pétrole [...] [...] d’une interview de Sadad al Husseini ,réalisée le 28 septembre pour ASPO-USA, par Dave Bowden, l’ancien n° 2 du pétrole [...]

]]> By: Staking Out the Middle Ground :: ASPO-USA: Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3557 Staking Out the Middle Ground :: ASPO-USA: Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas Thu, 19 Nov 2009 17:03:37 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3557 [...] quite some time to come. Sadad al-Husseini worked at every level of Saudi Aramco for decades, and recently gave his views to ASPO-USA. [...] quite some time to come. Sadad al-Husseini worked at every level of Saudi Aramco for decades, and recently gave his views to ASPO-USA.

]]> By: OPEC reserves revisited « Crude Oil Peak http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3388 OPEC reserves revisited « Crude Oil Peak Sun, 18 Oct 2009 05:55:01 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3388 [...] http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/ [...] [...] http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/ [...]

]]> By: Russia & OPEC Output Worries | plan B economics http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3374 Russia & OPEC Output Worries | plan B economics Fri, 16 Oct 2009 12:02:52 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3374 [...] In similar news, Sadad al Husseini – a geologist and reservoir engineer who worked for Saudi Aramco – was recently interviewed by ASPO. (Full interview here) [...] [...] In similar news, Sadad al Husseini – a geologist and reservoir engineer who worked for Saudi Aramco – was recently interviewed by ASPO. (Full interview here) [...]

]]> By: Matt Mushalik http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3365 Matt Mushalik Tue, 13 Oct 2009 11:18:36 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3365 Sadad's warning comes 2 years after his slide show at an Oil & Money conference in London in 2007 http://www.energyintel.com/om/program.asp?year=2007 in which he crossed out 300 Gb of proved reserves and reclassified them as resources. I quoted his graph in my submission #103 to the Australian Senate Inquiry on Fuel and Energy on page 16 http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=34 Sadad’s warning comes 2 years after his slide show at an Oil & Money conference in London in 2007

http://www.energyintel.com/om/program.asp?year=2007

in which he crossed out 300 Gb of proved reserves and reclassified them as resources.

I quoted his graph in my submission #103 to the Australian Senate Inquiry on Fuel and Energy on page 16
http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=34

]]> By: Don Hirschberg http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3266 Don Hirschberg Sun, 04 Oct 2009 06:06:57 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3266 There is a typo in my October 2 comment. The fuel rate should read .085 gal/hour, not 0.85. I used the correct number on the calculator so the final result is OK, that is, Bergquist's car would only need to put out 2 horse power. My aplogies to anyone who wasted time due to my error. There is a typo in my October 2 comment. The fuel rate should read .085 gal/hour, not 0.85. I used the correct number on the calculator so the final result is OK, that is, Bergquist’s car would only need to put out 2 horse power. My aplogies to anyone who wasted time due to my error.

]]> By: Bill Simpson of Slidell LA. http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3243 Bill Simpson of Slidell LA. Sat, 03 Oct 2009 00:26:12 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3243 Hi, S.R.B. Actually, I think that I wrote a while back that a crash program to convert transportation to compressed natural gas might still be able to avoid catastrophe, but that may have been on another website. I was lucky to have been educated by Catholic nuns and brothers, so I just feel that is my moral duty to warn people about something (peak oil) that I think is only a few years away(economic collapse caused by peak oil prices), and that will cause untold human suffering, if not addressed very soon. Since I saw that James Kunstler did a piece on peak oil on his very popular web site, and that he referenced this site, I just thought that I would outline the magnitude of the problems to any folks unfamiliar with the subject, who might drift over this way. We peak oilers are a tiny minority you know. Lay out Armageddon, and you might get something done. The right person might read it and begin to think. And for me, writing thousands of words isn't easy, especially for free. I worked in government for 25 years, and have learned that politicians don't worry much about the distant (past the next election) future. Most think that capitalism, left alone, will take care of all problems. I myself believe that when critical resources, like oil, begin to run out, that will no longer be the case, especially with the current business emphasis on immediate profit. We need massive, immediate, government intervention in this coming liquid fuel shortage mess now. I don't mean government ownership, just the right policies and laws. If Washington waits until oil production actually begins to decline, and people finally quit thinking that there is 'plenty of oil' left, I believe that many people on this planet will then find themselves in a life-threating situation. If anyone thinks that the current economic situation is a mess, try $12 a gallon rationed gasoline. Dummy that I am, I actually thought that Obama would do like Carter, and address the Nation on the need for a crash program to switch to compressed natural gas powered vehicles. Gas to liquids might also help. Shell is already producing the diesel-like fuel from natural gas, which is now a lot easier to find than oil. Please remember that any technological fix, even IF found, will take many years to implement. I had also hoped for a crash program of wind and solar electric generation from Obama, so as to quit wasting finite fossil fuels on that. As far as sacrifice, there is no hope of that until the need is demonstrably expressed to the American public. Until Pearl Harbor, the American people wanted nothing to do with WW II. Only a Presidential address to the Nation can educate the public about the danger of business as usual. It will be the only hope of raising enough public awareness of the problem to force Congress to act before it is too late. But I appreciate your criticism. And for those who can think of anything that can rapidly replace the 38% of the energy used by mankind that currently comes from cheap oil, at an affordable price, please tell me so that I can invest in it. After I get rich and buy a new telescope, I'll give it all away. And finally, I've read 5 books on peak oil, but since they got destroyed by Hurricane Katrina flooding caused by Corps of Engineers defective levee construction (They couldn't get levees built in 40 years, and people think peak oil won't be a problem!), along with just about everything else I owned, I couldn't cite them in the footnotes so often found on these websites. Hi, S.R.B. Actually, I think that I wrote a while back that a crash program to convert transportation to compressed natural gas might still be able to avoid catastrophe, but that may have been on another website. I was lucky to have been educated by Catholic nuns and brothers, so I just feel that is my moral duty to warn people about something (peak oil) that I think is only a few years away(economic collapse caused by peak oil prices), and that will cause untold human suffering, if not addressed very soon. Since I saw that James Kunstler did a piece on peak oil on his very popular web site, and that he referenced this site, I just thought that I would outline the magnitude of the problems to any folks unfamiliar with the subject, who might drift over this way. We peak oilers are a tiny minority you know. Lay out Armageddon, and you might get something done. The right person might read it and begin to think. And for me, writing thousands of words isn’t easy, especially for free.
I worked in government for 25 years, and have learned that politicians don’t worry much about the distant (past the next election) future. Most think that capitalism, left alone, will take care of all problems. I myself believe that when critical resources, like oil, begin to run out, that will no longer be the case, especially with the current business emphasis on immediate profit. We need massive, immediate, government intervention in this coming liquid fuel shortage mess now. I don’t mean government ownership, just the right policies and laws. If Washington waits until oil production actually begins to decline, and people finally quit thinking that there is ‘plenty of oil’ left, I believe that many people on this planet will then find themselves in a life-threating situation. If anyone thinks that the current economic situation is a mess, try $12 a gallon rationed gasoline.
Dummy that I am, I actually thought that Obama would do like Carter, and address the Nation on the need for a crash program to switch to compressed natural gas powered vehicles. Gas to liquids might also help. Shell is already producing the diesel-like fuel from natural gas, which is now a lot easier to find than oil. Please remember that any technological fix, even IF found, will take many years to implement. I had also hoped for a crash program of wind and solar electric generation from Obama, so as to quit wasting finite fossil fuels on that.
As far as sacrifice, there is no hope of that until the need is demonstrably expressed to the American public. Until Pearl Harbor, the American people wanted nothing to do with WW II. Only a Presidential address to the Nation can educate the public about the danger of business as usual. It will be the only hope of raising enough public awareness of the problem to force Congress to act before it is too late. But I appreciate your criticism. And for those who can think of anything that can rapidly replace the 38% of the energy used by mankind that currently comes from cheap oil, at an affordable price, please tell me so that I can invest in it. After I get rich and buy a new telescope, I’ll give it all away.
And finally, I’ve read 5 books on peak oil, but since they got destroyed by Hurricane Katrina flooding caused by Corps of Engineers defective levee construction (They couldn’t get levees built in 40 years, and people think peak oil won’t be a problem!), along with just about everything else I owned, I couldn’t cite them in the footnotes so often found on these websites.

]]> By: Don Hirschberg http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3242 Don Hirschberg Fri, 02 Oct 2009 22:03:20 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3242 Mr. Bergquist, let’s do a little arithmetic with the numbers in your comment. Let’s use the minimum mpg value you mentioned, 400 mpg, and the maximum speed you stipulated, 34 mph. A representative gallon of gasoline has a HHV of 125,000 BTU. 125,000 BTU/H x 778 ft#/BTU / 3600 sec/H / 550 Ft# per HP = 49.1 HP hours per gallon at 100% brake thermal efficiency. At 34 mph and 400 mpg, fuel is used at 34/400 = 0.85 Gal/hour. If an engine of 50% thermal efficiency were developed (doubtful, far better than anything so far) then 0.85 x .50 x 49.1 = 2.09 HP, the required output of your engine to attain your maximum speed. (No hills allowed?) As to aerodynamics, benefits at 34 mph and under would be minuscule. Given a population of almost 7 billion and still growing I say there is no combination of “solutions” that can sustain our present civilization. It is amazing to me how many people are hard wired to think all problems have solutions. One of the beauties of Thermodynamics is that it tells us limits beyond which we cannot go. For example the “hydrogen fuel” people can’t seem to understand that hydrogen is not a source of energy on this planet and never will be. Mr. Bergquist, let’s do a little arithmetic with the numbers in your comment. Let’s use the minimum mpg value you mentioned, 400 mpg, and the maximum speed you stipulated, 34 mph.

A representative gallon of gasoline has a HHV of 125,000 BTU. 125,000 BTU/H x 778 ft#/BTU / 3600 sec/H / 550 Ft# per HP = 49.1 HP hours per gallon at 100% brake thermal efficiency. At 34 mph and 400 mpg, fuel is used at 34/400 = 0.85 Gal/hour. If an engine of 50% thermal efficiency were developed (doubtful, far better than anything so far) then 0.85 x .50 x 49.1 = 2.09 HP, the required output of your engine to attain your maximum speed. (No hills allowed?)

As to aerodynamics, benefits at 34 mph and under would be minuscule.

Given a population of almost 7 billion and still growing I say there is no combination of “solutions” that can sustain our present civilization. It is amazing to me how many people are hard wired to think all problems have solutions. One of the beauties of Thermodynamics is that it tells us limits beyond which we cannot go. For example the “hydrogen fuel” people can’t seem to understand that hydrogen is not a source of energy on this planet and never will be.

]]> By: Chris Holtom http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3240 Chris Holtom Fri, 02 Oct 2009 17:06:41 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3240 I agree that Bill Simpson's observations are somewhat gloomy. Lets take his view as an extreme hypotheis. There is plenty of information in ASPO USA that offers statistics, projections and policies to mitigate the conditions that Bill describes. My own simple view is framed by the market and the human ability to adapt. I do not see peak oil as a single event, but as a series of shocks leading to a global realisation and comprehension of the consequences of peak oil over several years or even decades. Its the shocks that will stimulate the market to diversify followed lamely by political policies, none of which appear currently to have a clear vision of the rate of approach of the threat of peak oil nor the manifestation of its impact. There are so many competing issues involved that rather than try to predict outcomes, perhaps our efforts should be on shaping certain conditions that appear beneficial in any circumstance. The first is the gradual erosion of the nation state - its become a menace and a danger to itself and its neighbours. We should encourage movement towards global institutions and alliances like the EU. Much as I dislike the idea of bureaucrats tampering with my national laws and culture, I believe this process is a neccessity to reduce the risk of nationalistic responses during the shocks of peak oil realisation. The second is a shorter term issue - fiscal encouragement of alternative energy research and consumption. There are such policies but they are too limited in effect and they are not changing habits at the rate that the impact of climate change or the approach of peak oil realisation appears to demand. The third is probably the easiest and most immediate which is to generate a sustained and informed global debate to flush out the 'truth' about the issues that Bill Simpson refers to. He certainly caught my attention with the fuel cell issues of lithium and platinum supplies should fuel cells become a mass produced global reality. Statistics are necessary but so are well presented human impact arguments from both sides of the coin, presented by bodies that are perceived to take a truly independent view. It seems that ASPO USA is doing something of a job on those lines but I sense a slightly one-sided approach. That said, the interview with Sadad Al Husseini above was balanced and informative. Thank you for the opportunity to enter this critical debate. I agree that Bill Simpson’s observations are somewhat gloomy. Lets take his view as an extreme hypotheis. There is plenty of information in ASPO USA that offers statistics, projections and policies to mitigate the conditions that Bill describes. My own simple view is framed by the market and the human ability to adapt. I do not see peak oil as a single event, but as a series of shocks leading to a global realisation and comprehension of the consequences of peak oil over several years or even decades. Its the shocks that will stimulate the market to diversify followed lamely by political policies, none of which appear currently to have a clear vision of the rate of approach of the threat of peak oil nor the manifestation of its impact.

There are so many competing issues involved that rather than try to predict outcomes, perhaps our efforts should be on shaping certain conditions that appear beneficial in any circumstance.

The first is the gradual erosion of the nation state - its become a menace and a danger to itself and its neighbours. We should encourage movement towards global institutions and alliances like the EU. Much as I dislike the idea of bureaucrats tampering with my national laws and culture, I believe this process is a neccessity to reduce the risk of nationalistic responses during the shocks of peak oil realisation.

The second is a shorter term issue - fiscal encouragement of alternative energy research and consumption. There are such policies but they are too limited in effect and they are not changing habits at the rate that the impact of climate change or the approach of peak oil realisation appears to demand.

The third is probably the easiest and most immediate which is to generate a sustained and informed global debate to flush out the ‘truth’ about the issues that Bill Simpson refers to. He certainly caught my attention with the fuel cell issues of lithium and platinum supplies should fuel cells become a mass produced global reality. Statistics are necessary but so are well presented human impact arguments from both sides of the coin, presented by bodies that are perceived to take a truly independent view. It seems that ASPO USA is doing something of a job on those lines but I sense a slightly one-sided approach. That said, the interview with Sadad Al Husseini above was balanced and informative.

Thank you for the opportunity to enter this critical debate.

]]> By: Are sales data the key to this quarter's earnings reports? - Steve Cook on Disciplined Investing - InvestorsInsight.com | Financial Intelligence, Advice & Research / Investment Strategies & Planning for Individual Investors. http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/#comment-3216 Are sales data the key to this quarter's earnings reports? - Steve Cook on Disciplined Investing - InvestorsInsight.com | Financial Intelligence, Advice & Research / Investment Strategies & Planning for Individual Investors. Wed, 30 Sep 2009 14:15:14 +0000 http://www.aspousa.org/?p=2574#comment-3216 [...] A look at oil production/demand/reserves (long):    http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/        Good news from Japan (short):    [...] [...] A look at oil production/demand/reserves (long):    http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2009/09/interview-with-sadad-al-husseini/        Good news from Japan (short):    [...]

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